(DailyVantage.com) – Vice President Kamala Harris is still trailing former President Donald Trump, even after the Democratic National Convention (DNC), according to a new Rasmussen Reports poll. The poll, released Thursday, shows that 48 percent of likely voters support Trump, while 46 percent back Harris. Three percent remain undecided.
The poll highlights how independents are leaning toward Trump, favoring him by an eight-point margin (49 percent to 41 percent). Meanwhile, both Harris and Trump have strong backing within their parties, with each securing 82 percent of their respective party voters. The poll was conducted from August 22 to August 28, with a margin of error of ± three percentage points.
This marks a concerning trend for Harris, as she has been unable to overtake Trump in the polls. A polling aggregator on X (@IApolls2022) pointed out that Trump’s lead has been shrinking since Harris became the Democratic nominee. He led by seven points in July, four points in mid-August, and three points by late August. Despite this, Harris has not been able to close the gap after the convention, something many candidates usually accomplish with a “convention bump.”
Veteran Democratic strategist James Carville also sounded the alarm, warning that Trump has a history of outperforming in polls. Carville reminded Democrats that to win the Electoral College, they often need to win the popular vote by at least three points. He explained, “If a poll shows you’re two points ahead, you might actually be one point behind.”
Adding to the mixed signals for Harris, other polls released on Thursday provide a slightly different picture. A Quinnipiac University poll from August 23-27 found Harris ahead by just one point (49 percent to 48 percent), with two percent undecided. Meanwhile, a four-way race that included Green Party candidate Jill Stein and Libertarian Chase Oliver also showed Harris at 49 percent, Trump at 47 percent, and the others tied at one percent each.
Similarly, a Wall Street Journal poll conducted from August 24-28 found Harris leading Trump by just one point (48 percent to 47 percent), with a two-point lead in a broader race. Both polls had margins of error close to ± 2.5 percent, further emphasizing the tight race.
Copyright 2024, DailyVantage.com
